Global Business Travel Stock Performance

GBTG Stock  USD 5.56  0.09  1.65%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.98, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Global Business will likely underperform. At this point, Global Business Travel has a negative expected return of -0.55%. Please make sure to check out Global Business' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Global Business Travel performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Global Business Travel has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.65
Five Day Return
8.17
Year To Date Return
(26.06)
Ten Year Return
(42.38)
All Time Return
(42.38)
1
Chief Financial Officer Of Global Business Travel Makes 1.22M Sale
12/12/2025
2
Did Certares FS Rail Partnership Just Shift Global Business Travel Groups Investment Narrative
01/08/2026
3
Volatility Watch Is Global Business Travel Group Inc impacted by rising rates - 2025 AllTime Highs Fast Gain Swing Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn
01/15/2026
4
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. and GBT US III LLC Enters into Amended and Restated Credit Agreement - marketscreener.com
01/22/2026
5
Disposition of 3025 shares by John Thompson of Global Business at 6.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
6
Disposition of 41316 shares by Andrew Crawley of Global Business at 7.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
7
Wix, AppLovin, Toast, American Express Global Business Travel, and Fastly Stocks Are DecliningHeres Whats Important - Bitget
02/04/2026
8
Global Business Travel Group stock hits 52-week low at 5.78 By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa
02/06/2026
9
Global Business Travel Group stock hits 52-week low at 5.14 By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa
02/12/2026
10
A Look At Global Business Travel Groups Valuation As 2026 Revenue Guidance Targets 19 percent To 21 percent Growth
02/17/2026
11
Acquisition by John Thompson of 215533 shares of Global Business subject to Rule 16b-3
02/18/2026
12
How Expanded Buybacks and Reaffirmed Growth Outlook Will Impact Global Business Travel Group Investors
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow489 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-102 M

Global Business Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  800.00  in Global Business Travel on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (244.00) from holding Global Business Travel or give up 30.5% of portfolio value over 90 days. Global Business Travel is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.2585% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Global, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Global Business is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 per unit of volatility.

Global Business Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.56 90 days 5.56 
about 91.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Business to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.47 (This Global Business Travel probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.98 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Global Business will likely underperform. Additionally Global Business Travel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Business Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Business Travel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.265.528.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.596.8510.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.856.119.37
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.8810.8612.05
Details

Global Business Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Business Travel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.98
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Global Business Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Business Travel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Business has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.72 B. Net Loss for the year was (134 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B.
Global Business has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Expanded Buybacks and Reaffirmed Growth Outlook Will Impact Global Business Travel Group Investors

Global Business Fundamentals Growth

Global Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Global Business, and Global Business fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Global Stock performance.

About Global Business Performance

By analyzing Global Business' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Global Business' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Global Business has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Global Business has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.13)(0.12)

Things to note about Global Business Travel performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Business Travel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Business has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.72 B. Net Loss for the year was (134 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B.
Global Business has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Expanded Buybacks and Reaffirmed Growth Outlook Will Impact Global Business Travel Group Investors
Evaluating Global Business' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Global Business' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Global Business' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Global Business' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Global Business' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Global Business' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Global Business' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Global Business' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Global Business' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Global Business' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Global Business' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis

When running Global Business' price analysis, check to measure Global Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Business is operating at the current time. Most of Global Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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